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SuperCarSunday March 6
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A potent but very fast moving cold front will whip through the
area either saturday night or sunday morning. The gfs and ecmwf
remain at odds with the timing, and the gfs clearly is the
stronger of the two with much better pva and stronger southerly
flow, but the gfs is about 6 hours slower. Both solutions would
support about 3 hours of at least moderate to heavy rain with the
front, but even without convection the gfs solution might be
bordering on rainfall rates of a half inch per hour, which opens
the door for possible burn area issues. So will have to monitor
this over the next couple days.
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Originally posted by tipridr View PostA potent but very fast moving cold front will whip through the
area either saturday night or sunday morning. The gfs and ecmwf
remain at odds with the timing, and the gfs clearly is the
stronger of the two with much better pva and stronger southerly
flow, but the gfs is about 6 hours slower. Both solutions would
support about 3 hours of at least moderate to heavy rain with the
front, but even without convection the gfs solution might be
bordering on rainfall rates of a half inch per hour, which opens
the door for possible burn area issues. So will have to monitor
this over the next couple days.
Thanks
DougLast edited by Doug Liedblad; March 2, 2016, 08:24 AM.
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Originally posted by Doug Liedblad View PostOriginally posted by tipridr View PostA potent but very fast moving cold front will whip through the
area either saturday night or sunday morning. The gfs and ecmwf
remain at odds with the timing, and the gfs clearly is the
stronger of the two with much better pva and stronger southerly
flow, but the gfs is about 6 hours slower. Both solutions would
support about 3 hours of at least moderate to heavy rain with the
front, but even without convection the gfs solution might be
bordering on rainfall rates of a half inch per hour, which opens
the door for possible burn area issues. So will have to monitor
this over the next couple days.
Please define gfs, ecmwf, and pva for us ignorant folk.
Thanks
Doug
GFS = Global Forecasting System
ECMWF = European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasting
PVA = ...?
Initial results show the following possibilities:Paralyzed Veterans of America
Performing and Visual Arts programs at Wiley H. Bates Middle School and Brooklyn Park Middle School (grades 6-8)
Polyvinyl Alcohol (makes for a nasty martini I'd bet)
Polyvinyl Acetate
Precision Valve and Automation
Potomac Valley Association
Penn Virginia Corp.
Passenger Vessel Association
Property Value Administrator
Two out of three ain't bad, I guess. Anyway, now I'm wondering what the "...possible burn area issues" phrase means?| | Sean
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