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SuperCarSunday March 6

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  • SuperCarSunday March 6

    Anyone up for a meet at SCS with a drive to the Rock Store or other destination?

  • #2
    Sounds good. I think we can make it.

    Comment


    • #3
      Doug, just checked the forecast... 70% chance rain Sunday :-(.

      Spring has sprung and the hills are beautiful... I'm in if the forecast changes!

      Comment


      • #4
        I am in as long as it is not raining. In spite of what the forecast says.

        Comment


        • #5
          Well, let's watch it. I am not too much into rain driving if I can avoid it.

          Comment


          • #6
            I thought you had a top?

            I don't want to drive in the rain either but it ain't raining yet.

            Comment


            • #7
              A potent but very fast moving cold front will whip through the
              area either saturday night or sunday morning. The gfs and ecmwf
              remain at odds with the timing, and the gfs clearly is the
              stronger of the two with much better pva and stronger southerly
              flow, but the gfs is about 6 hours slower. Both solutions would
              support about 3 hours of at least moderate to heavy rain with the
              front, but even without convection the gfs solution might be
              bordering on rainfall rates of a half inch per hour, which opens
              the door for possible burn area issues. So will have to monitor
              this over the next couple days.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by tipridr View Post
                A potent but very fast moving cold front will whip through the
                area either saturday night or sunday morning. The gfs and ecmwf
                remain at odds with the timing, and the gfs clearly is the
                stronger of the two with much better pva and stronger southerly
                flow, but the gfs is about 6 hours slower. Both solutions would
                support about 3 hours of at least moderate to heavy rain with the
                front, but even without convection the gfs solution might be
                bordering on rainfall rates of a half inch per hour, which opens
                the door for possible burn area issues. So will have to monitor
                this over the next couple days.
                Please define gfs, ecmwf, and pva for us ignorant folk.

                Thanks

                Doug
                Last edited by Doug Liedblad; March 2, 2016, 07:24 AM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Doug Liedblad View Post
                  Originally posted by tipridr View Post
                  A potent but very fast moving cold front will whip through the
                  area either saturday night or sunday morning. The gfs and ecmwf
                  remain at odds with the timing, and the gfs clearly is the
                  stronger of the two with much better pva and stronger southerly
                  flow, but the gfs is about 6 hours slower. Both solutions would
                  support about 3 hours of at least moderate to heavy rain with the
                  front, but even without convection the gfs solution might be
                  bordering on rainfall rates of a half inch per hour, which opens
                  the door for possible burn area issues. So will have to monitor
                  this over the next couple days.

                  Please define gfs, ecmwf, and pva for us ignorant folk.

                  Thanks

                  Doug
                  I was thinking the same, so looked 'em up:
                  GFS = Global Forecasting System
                  ECMWF = European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasting
                  PVA = ...?

                  Initial results show the following possibilities:
                  Paralyzed Veterans of America
                  Performing and Visual Arts programs at Wiley H. Bates Middle School and Brooklyn Park Middle School (grades 6-8)
                  Polyvinyl Alcohol (makes for a nasty martini I'd bet)
                  Polyvinyl Acetate
                  Precision Valve and Automation
                  Potomac Valley Association
                  Penn Virginia Corp.
                  Passenger Vessel Association
                  Property Value Administrator



                  Two out of three ain't bad, I guess. Anyway, now I'm wondering what the "...possible burn area issues" phrase means?
                  | | Sean

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    You could also get a forecast like this:

                    KVNY 021740Z 0218/0318 00000KT 6SM HZ SKC
                    FM022000 16008KT P6SM SCT200
                    FM030200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT200
                    FM031100 VRB03KT 5SM HZ SCT200

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Anyway, now I'm wondering what the "...possible burn area issues" phrase means?
                      That means watch out for debris flows, i.e. MUD, rocks, trees, etc. that are on the road.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        that was just a cut and paste from the NOOA site- Next Week's rain is supposed to be really bad- I'm not a meteroligist either

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Wish I could be there. Sadly I am working all weekend.
                          Paul. Birkin S3 /Dunnel zetec/emerald ECU

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by prabjohns View Post
                            Wish I could be there. Sadly I am working all weekend.
                            Yes but you get to watch the next blockbuster movie months before we do, about 400 times too.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              True, but then it takes months to get it out of my head afterwards.
                              A good 300 mile drive in the Birkin works wonders for that though!
                              Paul. Birkin S3 /Dunnel zetec/emerald ECU

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